根据最新更新的预测 亚太旅游协会根据亚太旅游协会 (PATA) 的预测,2020 年亚太地区国际游客最有可能出现的情况是游客数量可能同比减少 32%。考虑到新冠肺炎 (COVID-19) 大流行的影响,预计今年入境人数将减少至不到 500 亿人次。
这实际上使游客量恢复到 2012 年的水平。现阶段,预计增长将在 2021 年恢复,到 2023 年恢复到预测水平。当然,这在很大程度上取决于 COVID-19 大流行得到控制的速度和彻底程度并受到控制。更乐观的情况表明,2020 年入境人数仍将下降,但同比下降 16%,而悲观的情况则预计减少约 44%。
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从这篇文章中可以得到什么:
- The impacts are expected to be most severe in Asia, especially Northeast Asia, which is now predicted to lose almost 51% of its visitor volume between 2019 and 2020 (most likely scenario), followed by South Asia with a reduction of 31%, and then Southeast Asia with a 22% drop in visitor arrivals.
- We can only hope that this pandemic is brought under absolute control quickly and effectively, enabling the global travel and tourism industry to get back on its feet, re-employ the millions of people who lost their positions and create even more employment opportunities both directly and for the upstream and downstream sectors that rely on it”.
- West Asia is projected to lose almost six percent in visitor arrivals, followed by the Pacific with a projected contraction of 18%, and the Americas with a loss of a little under 12%.